TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 12Saturday 24 October · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Full time5-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Swansea City3rd place
QPR 39%X 28%SWA 32%

What does the market say?

QPRDrawSwansea CityRinvalo39%28%32%
Market38%28%34%

✓ Agree · both back QPR

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If QPR score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X28%3.54232%3.09
Double chance
1X68%1.48X261%1.651272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Swansea City5-0 probability 0.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Swansea City24 October 20265-0
QPR – Swansea City21 April 20261-2
Swansea City – QPR22 October 20250-1
QPR – Swansea City21 April 20251-2
Swansea City – QPR26 December 20243-0
Swansea City – QPR1 April 20240-1