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Primeira Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Estrela Amadora12th place
ACV 45%X 28%EAM 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Estrela Amadora 0.2.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 104 rating points.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.58227%3.67
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Estrela Amadora1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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Estrela Amadora – Académico de Viseu20 September 20260-2