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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Estoril18th place
CPA 37%X 29%EST 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Casa Pia 1.2 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Casa Pia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X29%3.48235%2.90
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.581271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Estoril1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
EstorilLLLLL

Head to head

Estoril – Casa Pia20 September 20261-2
Estoril – Casa Pia7 March 20260-0
Casa Pia – Estoril3 October 20252-2
Casa Pia – Estoril29 April 20251-3
Estoril – Casa Pia15 December 20240-2
Casa Pia – Estoril8 April 20240-0