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La Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alavés10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Elche17th place
ALA 49%X 27%ELC 24%

Prediction

  • If Alavés score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alavés win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X27%3.71224%4.15
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.961273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alavés · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Alavés9 May 20261-1
Alavés – Elche5 October 20253-1
Elche – Alavés5 February 20223-1
Alavés – Elche26 October 20211-0