TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
RAY 66%X 21%MAL 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano lead by 117 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rayo Vallecano 1.6 points per game, Málaga 0.4.
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.549%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X21%4.74213%8.00
Double chance
1X88%1.14X234%2.981279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes44%2.29BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Málaga2-0 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →