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La Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
VAL 45%X 29%ESP 26%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X29%3.43226%3.88
Double chance
1X74%1.35X255%1.821271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.540%2.49Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Espanyol24 January 20263-2
Espanyol – Valencia23 September 20252-2
Valencia – Espanyol22 April 20251-1
Espanyol – Valencia18 December 20241-1
Valencia – Espanyol28 May 20232-2
Espanyol – Valencia2 October 20222-2