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La Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
SEV 62%X 22%RAC 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla lead by 67 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sevilla -0.4, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.3
Over 2.571%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X22%4.56216%6.16
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.621278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.49BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 9.3%

Form

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