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Primeira Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Alverca10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Gil Vicente9th place
ALV 34%X 30%GIL 36%

Prediction

  • If Alverca score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X30%3.34236%2.77
Double chance
1X64%1.57X266%1.511270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.539%2.58Under 2.561%1.63BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alverca · Columns: Gil Vicente1-1 probability 14.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gil Vicente – Alverca14 March 20262-2
Alverca – Gil Vicente24 October 20250-4