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Primeira Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Benfica2nd place
RAV 8%X 14%BEN 78%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 349 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Benfica 1.5, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Benfica 2.4 points per game, Rio Ave 0.8.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 26% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 91% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.8
Over 2.569%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
18%12.41X14%7.19278%1.28
Double chance
1X22%4.55X292%1.091286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.26BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Benfica0-2 probability 10.7%

Form

Compare →
Rio AveDLWLL
BenficaWLWWW

Head to head

Rio Ave – Benfica17 January 20260-2
Benfica – Rio Ave23 September 20251-1
Rio Ave – Benfica16 March 20252-3
Benfica – Rio Ave27 October 20245-0
Rio Ave – Benfica17 May 20241-1
Benfica – Rio Ave14 January 20244-1