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Primeira Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Porto1st place
FAM 16%X 23%POR 61%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 227 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Famalicão -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Famalicão 1.4.
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.7
Over 2.544%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.43X23%4.31261%1.63
Double chance
1X39%2.58X284%1.181277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes43%2.31BTTS no57%1.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Porto0-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
PortoWWWWW

Head to head

Porto – Famalicão4 April 20262-2
Famalicão – Porto9 November 20250-1
Porto – Famalicão18 April 20252-1
Famalicão – Porto7 December 20241-1
Porto – Famalicão13 April 20242-2
Famalicão – Porto2 December 20230-3