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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Estoril18th place
SCP 82%X 13%EST 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 333 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Estoril -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Sporting CP 1.6 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 22% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.1 – 0.8
Over 2.575%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
182%1.23X13%7.6625%18.69
Double chance
1X95%1.06X218%5.431287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.575%1.33Under 2.525%4.01BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sporting CP · Columns: Estoril3-0 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sporting CP – Estoril27 February 20263-0
Estoril – Sporting CP27 September 20250-1
Sporting CP – Estoril3 March 20253-1
Estoril – Sporting CP27 September 20240-3
Estoril – Sporting CP11 May 20240-1
Sporting CP – Estoril5 January 20245-1