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Primeira Liga · Matchday 15Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
SCB 60%X 24%ACV 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 70 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • If Braga score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X24%4.21216%6.30
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.521276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-0 probability 12.1%

Form

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