TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 23Saturday 6 March · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Auxerre13th place
ANG 37%X 28%AUX 35%

Prediction

  • If Angers score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Angers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X28%3.54235%2.90
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.591272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Auxerre1-1 probability 13.7%
AngersWLLDL
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Auxerre – Angers29 August 20261-3
Auxerre – Angers3 May 20263-1
Angers – Auxerre9 November 20252-0
Angers – Auxerre19 January 20252-0
Auxerre – Angers24 November 20241-0
Angers – Auxerre12 February 20231-1