TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 23Saturday 6 March · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Rennes5th place
PSG 73%X 17%REN 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 152 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Rennes 1.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Rennes -0.4.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 1.0
Over 2.574%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X17%5.93210%10.00
Double chance
1X90%1.11X227%3.721283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.574%1.36Under 2.526%3.81BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Rennes2-1 probability 8.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rennes – Paris Saint-Germain23 August 20262-2
Rennes – Paris Saint-Germain13 February 20263-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Rennes6 December 20255-0
Rennes – Paris Saint-Germain8 March 20251-4
Paris Saint-Germain – Rennes27 September 20243-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Rennes25 February 20241-1