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Premier League · Matchday 19Saturday 2 January · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
ARS 81%X 13%IPS 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 326 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Arsenal 2.4 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.6
Over 2.567%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.23X13%7.5225%18.76
Double chance
1X95%1.06X219%5.371287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.02BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Ipswich Town2-0 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Arsenal20 April 20250-4
Arsenal – Ipswich Town27 December 20241-0