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Premier League · Matchday 19Sunday 3 January · 16:30 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Tottenham8th place
MCI 65%X 22%TOT 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 205 rating points.
  • Manchester City take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.559%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X22%4.59213%7.51
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.851278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester City · Columns: Tottenham2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Manchester City1 February 20262-2
Manchester City – Tottenham23 August 20250-2
Tottenham – Manchester City26 February 20250-1
Manchester City – Tottenham23 November 20240-4
Tottenham – Manchester City14 May 20240-2
Manchester City – Tottenham3 December 20233-3