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Premier League · Matchday 19Saturday 2 January · 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Hull City10th place
SUN 47%X 28%HUL 25%

Prediction

  • If Sunderland score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.15X28%3.56225%3.93
Double chance
1X75%1.34X254%1.871272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Hull City1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sunderland – Hull City22 February 20250-1
Hull City – Sunderland20 October 20240-1
Sunderland – Hull City19 January 20240-1
Hull City – Sunderland26 December 20230-1
Sunderland – Hull City7 April 20234-4
Hull City – Sunderland17 December 20221-1