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Premier League · Matchday 19Saturday 2 January · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
LIV 67%X 21%COV 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.82212%8.21
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.041279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Coventry City2-0 probability 11.2%

Form

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