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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo8th place
ATH 55%X 26%DEP 19%

Prediction

  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X26%3.88219%5.17
Double chance
1X81%1.24X245%2.221274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Athletic Bilbao · Columns: Deportivo1-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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