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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Barcelona1st place
CEL 13%X 20%BAR 67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 291 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Celta Vigo -0.3.
  • Barcelona take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 37% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 85% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.59X20%5.09267%1.49
Double chance
1X33%3.05X287%1.151280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.75BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Barcelona0-2 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Barcelona – Celta Vigo22 April 20261-0
Celta Vigo – Barcelona9 November 20252-4
Barcelona – Celta Vigo19 April 20254-3
Celta Vigo – Barcelona23 November 20242-2
Celta Vigo – Barcelona17 February 20241-2
Barcelona – Celta Vigo23 September 20233-2