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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Levante18th place
SEV 48%X 27%LEV 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X27%3.73225%3.99
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.931273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL
LevanteDDWLL

Head to head

Levante – Sevilla12 October 20263-3
Levante – Sevilla23 April 20262-0
Sevilla – Levante4 January 20260-3
Levante – Sevilla21 April 20222-3
Sevilla – Levante24 October 20215-3