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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano12th place
VAL 37%X 29%RAY 33%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X29%3.41233%3.00
Double chance
1X67%1.50X263%1.601271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.542%2.38Under 2.558%1.72BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Rayo Vallecano14 May 20261-1
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia1 December 20251-1
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia19 April 20251-1
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano7 December 20240-1
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano12 May 20240-0
Rayo Vallecano – Valencia19 December 20230-1