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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
ESP 37%X 28%RSO 35%

Prediction

  • If Espanyol score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X28%3.55235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X263%1.591272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Espanyol29 August 20262-1
Espanyol – Real Sociedad23 May 20261-1
Real Sociedad – Espanyol24 August 20252-2
Real Sociedad – Espanyol9 February 20252-1
Espanyol – Real Sociedad24 August 20240-1
Espanyol – Real Sociedad13 February 20232-3