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La Liga · Matchday 33Wednesday 21 April · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés10th place
OSA 41%X 28%ALA 30%

Prediction

  • If Osasuna score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.41X28%3.52230%3.33
Double chance
1X70%1.43X259%1.711272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
OsasunaLDLWL
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Alavés – Osasuna6 September 20265-2
Alavés – Osasuna5 April 20262-2
Osasuna – Alavés20 December 20253-0
Alavés – Osasuna24 May 20251-1
Osasuna – Alavés8 December 20242-2
Osasuna – Alavés4 March 20241-0