TR
Picks
Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Stuttgart11th place
FCA 33%X 25%VFB 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 94 rating points.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.8
Over 2.564%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.02X25%3.96242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.71X267%1.501275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.80BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 10.7%

Head to head

Augsburg – Stuttgart22 March 20262-5
Stuttgart – Augsburg9 November 20253-2
Stuttgart – Augsburg11 May 20254-0
Augsburg – Stuttgart12 January 20250-1
Augsburg – Stuttgart10 May 20240-1
Stuttgart – Augsburg20 December 20233-0