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Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
M'gladbach18th place
FCB 87%X 9%BMG 4%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 345 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, M'gladbach -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Bayern Munich 2.2 points per game, M'gladbach 0.8.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 15% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.9 – 0.9
Over 2.586%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
187%1.15X9%10.7424%28.49
Double chance
1X96%1.04X213%7.801291%1.10
Goals
Over 2.586%1.17Under 2.514%7.02BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: M'gladbach3-0 probability 8.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – M'gladbach6 March 20264-1
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich25 October 20250-3
Bayern Munich – M'gladbach10 May 20252-0
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich11 January 20250-1
Bayern Munich – M'gladbach3 February 20243-1
M'gladbach – Bayern Munich2 September 20231-2