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Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Paderborn14th place
RBL 73%X 18%SCP 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 154 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Paderborn -0.6.
  • RB Leipzig take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.6
Over 2.553%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X18%5.6629%10.74
Double chance
1X91%1.10X227%3.711282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes41%2.41BTTS no59%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Paderborn2-0 probability 14.5%

Form

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