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Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
SVE 29%X 26%TSG 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Elversberg -0.7.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.7 – 2.1
Over 2.572%
Both teams score71%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Hoffenheim win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.43X26%3.91245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.83X271%1.411274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.57BTTS yes71%1.40BTTS no29%3.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Hoffenheim1-1 probability 8.8%

Form

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