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Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Köln13th place
SCF 55%X 25%KOE 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Freiburg lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.557%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X25%3.97219%5.14
Double chance
1X81%1.24X245%2.241275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Freiburg – Köln25 January 20262-1
Köln – Freiburg31 August 20254-1
Köln – Freiburg4 May 20240-0
Freiburg – Köln17 December 20232-0
Köln – Freiburg29 April 20230-1
Freiburg – Köln6 November 20222-0