S04 25%X 27%SGE 48%
Prediction
Key factors
- Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 96 rating points.
- Last 5 games: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
- xG difference over the last 10: Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3, Schalke 04 -1.2.
- If Schalke 04 score first, they win 56% of the time
- If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 76% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.98X27%3.74248%2.08
Double chance
1X52%1.93X275%1.341273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Schalke 04 · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-1 probability 13.2%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Schalke 04 – Eintracht Frankfurt20 May 20232-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Schalke 0421 January 20233-0
Schalke 0417th place
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place