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Bundesliga · Matchday 32Saturday 8 May · 14:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Werder Bremen5th place
FCU 36%X 28%SVW 36%

Prediction

  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Union Berlin win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X28%3.54236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X264%1.571272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Werder Bremen1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Union Berlin – Werder Bremen8 March 20261-4
Werder Bremen – Union Berlin24 October 20251-0
Union Berlin – Werder Bremen3 May 20252-2
Werder Bremen – Union Berlin21 December 20244-1
Union Berlin – Werder Bremen16 March 20242-1
Werder Bremen – Union Berlin28 October 20232-0