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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Werder Bremen5th place
FCA 43%X 27%SVW 30%

Prediction

  • If Augsburg score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Augsburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X27%3.76230%3.28
Double chance
1X70%1.44X257%1.751273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes60%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Werder Bremen1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Werder Bremen – Augsburg19 September 20263-2
Werder Bremen – Augsburg2 May 20261-3
Augsburg – Werder Bremen20 December 20250-0
Werder Bremen – Augsburg19 January 20250-2
Augsburg – Werder Bremen24 August 20242-2
Augsburg – Werder Bremen27 April 20240-3