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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
SVE 55%X 25%S04 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elversberg lead by 68 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Elversberg 1.4 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • Elversberg take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elversberg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.80X25%3.98219%5.15
Double chance
1X81%1.24X245%2.251275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Schalke 041-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Schalke 04 – Elversberg20 September 20260-0