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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
SCF 52%X 25%SGE 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Freiburg 0.3, Eintracht Frankfurt -0.3.
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X25%3.96223%4.42
Double chance
1X77%1.29X248%2.091275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.80BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-1 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg19 September 20262-2
Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg1 March 20262-0
Freiburg – Eintracht Frankfurt19 October 20252-2
Freiburg – Eintracht Frankfurt17 May 20251-3
Eintracht Frankfurt – Freiburg14 January 20254-1
Freiburg – Eintracht Frankfurt18 February 20243-3