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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Leverkusen6th place
RBL 58%X 23%B04 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • RB Leipzig take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Leverkusen 0.1.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.3
Over 2.567%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X23%4.36219%5.14
Double chance
1X81%1.24X242%2.361277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.567%1.48Under 2.533%3.07BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Leverkusen2-1 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leverkusen – RB Leipzig20 September 20262-0
Leverkusen – RB Leipzig2 May 20264-1
RB Leipzig – Leverkusen20 December 20251-3
RB Leipzig – Leverkusen25 January 20252-2
Leverkusen – RB Leipzig31 August 20242-3
RB Leipzig – Leverkusen20 January 20242-3