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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
FCU 8%X 14%FCB 78%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 338 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Union Berlin -0.2.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 26% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.0 – 3.0
Over 2.575%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
18%11.96X14%7.19278%1.29
Double chance
1X22%4.49X292%1.091286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.575%1.33Under 2.525%4.06BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Bayern Munich0-2 probability 8.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Union Berlin18 September 20267-0
Bayern Munich – Union Berlin21 March 20264-0
Union Berlin – Bayern Munich8 November 20252-2
Union Berlin – Bayern Munich15 March 20251-1
Bayern Munich – Union Berlin2 November 20243-0
Union Berlin – Bayern Munich20 April 20241-5