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Bundesliga · Matchday 21Saturday 13 February · 14:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Paderborn14th place
TSG 64%X 22%SCP 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Hoffenheim lead by 69 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Paderborn -0.6.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.52214%7.01
Double chance
1X86%1.17X236%2.751278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Paderborn1-0 probability 12.6%

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Hoffenheim20 September 20263-1