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Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Le Havre18th place
AUX 45%X 27%HAC 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Auxerre 1.4 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Auxerre lead by 60 rating points.
  • Auxerre take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Auxerre win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X27%3.64228%3.62
Double chance
1X72%1.38X255%1.821273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Auxerre · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Le Havre – Auxerre18 October 20261-3
Le Havre – Auxerre5 April 20261-1
Auxerre – Le Havre26 October 20250-1
Auxerre – Le Havre4 May 20251-2
Le Havre – Auxerre1 September 20243-1