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Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Toulouse11th place
PSG 70%X 19%TFC 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 211 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Toulouse 1.6.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X19%5.22211%9.09
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.311281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.57BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Toulouse2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain – Toulouse3 April 20263-1
Toulouse – Paris Saint-Germain30 August 20253-6
Toulouse – Paris Saint-Germain15 February 20250-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Toulouse22 November 20243-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Toulouse12 May 20241-3
Toulouse – Paris Saint-Germain19 August 20231-1