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Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Lens9th place
BRE 32%X 27%RCL 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 119 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lens 1.8 points per game, Brest 0.8.
  • If Brest score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.11X27%3.70241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X268%1.471273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brest · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
BrestLLWDL
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Brest – Lens24 April 20263-3
Lens – Brest29 August 20253-1
Brest – Lens20 April 20251-3
Lens – Brest25 August 20242-0
Lens – Brest9 March 20241-0
Brest – Lens13 August 20233-2