TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Nice8th place
STR 50%X 26%NIC 24%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X26%3.85224%4.11
Double chance
1X76%1.32X250%1.991274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Nice1-1 probability 11.4%
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Strasbourg11 October 20262-1
Strasbourg – Nice4 April 20263-1
Nice – Strasbourg3 January 20261-1
Strasbourg – Nice12 April 20252-2
Nice – Strasbourg24 November 20242-1
Strasbourg – Nice28 April 20241-3