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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
LIL 70%X 20%LMS 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 199 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lille 1.6 points per game, Le Mans 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lille -0.1, Le Mans -0.7.
  • If Lille score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.553%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.44X20%5.07211%9.29
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.281280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Lille · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW
Le MansWLLDL