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Ligue 1 · Matchday 34Saturday 29 May · 20:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Troyes16th place
MON 67%X 21%ETG 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 219 rating points.
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.558%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.81212%8.33
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.051279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Troyes2-0 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL
TroyesLLLDW

Head to head

Troyes – Monaco5 March 20232-2
Monaco – Troyes31 August 20222-4
Monaco – Troyes10 April 20222-1
Troyes – Monaco29 August 20211-2