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La Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Real Betis4th place
BAR 79%X 14%BET 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 201 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Real Betis -0.2.
  • Barcelona take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 25% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.1 – 0.9
Over 2.576%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.27X14%7.0327%13.81
Double chance
1X93%1.08X221%4.661286%1.17
Goals
Over 2.576%1.31Under 2.524%4.25BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Real Betis3-0 probability 8.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Betis – Barcelona17 October 20262-5
Barcelona – Real Betis17 May 20263-1
Real Betis – Barcelona6 December 20253-5
Barcelona – Real Betis5 April 20251-1
Real Betis – Barcelona7 December 20242-2
Real Betis – Barcelona21 January 20242-4