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La Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Málaga20th place
ELC 60%X 24%MAL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elche lead by 90 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Málaga 0.4.
  • If Elche score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Málaga score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.67X24%4.23216%6.12
Double chance
1X84%1.20X240%2.501276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Málaga1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL
MálagaLDLDL