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La Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
SEV 42%X 28%RSO 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X28%3.63230%3.28
Double chance
1X70%1.44X258%1.721272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sevilla – Real Sociedad4 May 20261-0
Real Sociedad – Sevilla24 October 20252-1
Real Sociedad – Sevilla9 March 20250-1
Sevilla – Real Sociedad3 November 20240-2
Sevilla – Real Sociedad2 March 20243-2
Real Sociedad – Sevilla26 November 20232-1