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La Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
RAY 52%X 26%OSA 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano lead by 76 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rayo Vallecano 1.6 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X26%3.82221%4.66
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.101274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano19 September 20261-1
Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna24 January 20261-3
Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano14 September 20252-0
Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano19 January 20251-1
Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna16 September 20243-1
Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna20 April 20242-1