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La Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
ESP 57%X 24%RAC 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Espanyol -0.5, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.562%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X24%4.22219%5.23
Double chance
1X81%1.24X243%2.331276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Racing Santander1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

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Head to head

Racing Santander – Espanyol24 October 20262-1