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Bundesliga · Matchday 20Saturday 6 February · 14:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Rinvalo prediction4-1High confidence
Elversberg7th place
FCB 88%X 9%SVE 3%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 302 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Elversberg -0.7.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 14% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals4.3 – 1.1
Over 2.591%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score4-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
188%1.14X9%11.5123%29.59
Double chance
1X97%1.04X212%8.291291%1.10
Goals
Over 2.591%1.10Under 2.59%10.58BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: Elversberg4-1 probability 7.1%

Form

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Head to head

Elversberg – Bayern Munich13 September 20261-2