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Bundesliga · Matchday 20Saturday 6 February · 14:30 · BayArena
Leverkusen6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Augsburg10th place
B04 60%X 22%FCA 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Leverkusen 1.8 points per game, Augsburg 0.4.
  • Leverkusen lead by 83 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Leverkusen 0.1, Augsburg -0.5.
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.2
Over 2.567%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X22%4.51218%5.67
Double chance
1X82%1.21X240%2.511278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.567%1.48Under 2.533%3.06BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.72

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leverkusen · Columns: Augsburg2-1 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – Leverkusen12 September 20262-2
Leverkusen – Augsburg18 April 20261-2
Augsburg – Leverkusen6 December 20252-0
Leverkusen – Augsburg26 April 20252-0
Augsburg – Leverkusen14 December 20240-2
Leverkusen – Augsburg18 May 20242-1